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mavsmoneyball·· 4 小时前70热度

MMBets:休斯敦火箭需要做出抉择

MMBets: The Houston Rockets need to make a decision - Mavs Moneyball

情报要点

MMBets 预测休斯敦火箭新赛季胜场数将低于 48.5 胜(赔率 -110),理由是球队需在申京与亚当斯的中锋选择、谢泼德的成长与即战力之间权衡。火箭上赛季 52 胜 30 负止步西区首轮,本赛季新增马库斯·斯玛特与博格丹·博格达诺维奇,失去多里安·芬尼-史密斯,夺冠赔率为 +2700。

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The Rockets have the sour taste of disappointment still lingering from last season’s playoff exit. They lost to a Lakers team without Luka Doncic, in a series where Kevin Durant played just one game. This, compounded by the fact that they lost Fred VanVleet before even playing a game, makes Houston hungry to play basketball and show the league what they should have been a season ago.

This is a veteran team complemented by young talent. But when you have two groups on different timelines, there is sometimes a conflict of interest when it comes to deciding what is best for winning. Alperen Sengun is making $35 million this season, but Steven Adams makes more sense at center. Reed Sheppard was the third overall pick in the draft, but has not panned out quite yet. There are tough decisions the Rockets have to make if they want to maximize the rest of Kevin Durant’s career. And those decisions could prove fatal if made incorrectly.

Houston Rockets: Over/Under 48.5 wins (-110/-115)

To win the NBA Finals: +2700

Last Season: 52-30, lost W. Conference first round

Key Additions: Marcus Smart, Bogdan Bogdanovic

Key Losses: Dorian Finney-Smith

The Rockets’ lack of offense in the playoffs six months ago is what sunk them. Without Durant and VanVleet, they simply could not score enough points. Now that those guys are back, their offense should theoretically be better, but they are still going to force minutes on Sengun and Sheppard because of the capital they used on them. Ideally, the Rockets are able to trade one or both of those guys for a dynamic guard who provides shooting and move Adams into the permanent center spot. Kyrie Irving, for example, is a name that both makes sense and has been floated around. Until then, however, they are juggling too many things. Finding the right guys to play nightly without completely disregarding their younger pieces will be challenging. Houston is going to regress in the win column as they find their way forward.

Prediction: Under 48.5 wins (-110)

来源:mavsmoneyball · mavsmoneyball.com