达拉斯独行侠 vs 休斯敦火箭 10/21/2026 前瞻与预测

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Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+9.0)

The Dallas Mavericks (26-56 last season) are hitting the road to Toyota Center on Wednesday where they will play the Houston Rockets (52-30 last year). Houston is 9.0-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 229.

The Mavericks faced the Bulls and took home the win by a score of 149-128 in their last contest. When discussing fouls, the Mavericks ended up walking away with 20 and the Bulls accounted for 27 fouls. They made 10 out of their 38 tries from distance. Chicago finished 73.7% from the free throw line by converting 14 of their 19 shots. Furthermore, Chicago snagged 38 rebounds (13 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 8 blocks. Chicago earned 21 dimes and had 9 steals in the game. In relation to defending, Dallas allowed their opponent to shoot 49.1% from the field on 52 out of 106 shooting. They also doled out 36 dimes in this matchup while forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and getting 9 steals. In reference to grabbing boards, they collected a total of 43 with 3 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mavericks buried 23 of 27 shots for a percentage of 85.2%. Dallas walked away from the game with a 52.0% field goal percentage (52 out of 100) and buried 22 of their 49 shots from beyond the perimeter.

John Poulakidas is a guy who was a major contributor in the game. He walked away with 28 points on 9 out of 18 shooting. He saw the court for 36 mins and also collected 2 rebounds. Poulakidas finished 50.0% from the field and also recorded 4 dimes.

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Dallas heads into this matchup after finishing with a mark of 26-56 last year. They turned it over 14.5 times per contest and as a group committed 18.4 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Dallas pulled in 44.7 rebounds per contest and totaled 2,072 dimes last year, which was 22nd in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Mavericks connected on 34.4% on three-point attempts (899 of 2,615) and 75.5% from the charity stripe. They had an average of 114.1 points per outing (23rd in the league) while hitting 46.6% from the floor.

Defensively, the Mavericks forced their opponents into 13.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.0 fouls. They were 27th in basketball in giving up assists with 2,325 surrendered last year. The Mavericks defense allowed a FG percentage of 47.8% (3,676 of 7,695) and they conceded 46.8 boards per contest as a unit. They gave up 35.0% from beyond the arc while they were 23rd in basketball in PPG from their opponents (119.6).

In their last game, the Rockets went home defeated by a final of 98-78 when they faced the Lakers. With respect to how they rebounded, Houston permitted Los Angeles to collect 54 in all (15 offensive). They finished 42.9% from 3-point land by shooting 12 out of 28 and walked away from this one shooting 14 of 24 from the charity stripe (58.3%). The Rockets permitted the Lakers to convert 36 out of 89 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.4% for this contest. When all was said and done, the Rockets shot 28 out of 80 from the floor which had them sitting at 35.0%. Concerning shots from beyond the arc, Houston made 5 out of their 28 attempts (17.9%). They were able to convert 17 of the free throws for a rate of 70.8%. The Lakers were called for 19 personal fouls in this game which took the Rockets to the charity stripe for a total of 24 shots. They also coughed up the ball 14 times, while earning 6 steals for this game. The Rockets collected 37 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 45 in this contest.

Amen Thompson ended up having an impact for the Rockets for this contest. Thompson recorded 18 points in his 45 minutes of playing time and tallied 3 assists in the matchup. He buried 7 of 14 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and accounted for 8 rebounds.

Houston had a record of 52-30 last year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Rockets hit 47.9% from the floor, which ranked 10th in basketball. Houston earned 9,449 pts throughout last year (115.2 per contest) and they grabbed 48.1 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates was at 25.4 times per game (21st in the league) and they gave up possession 15.4 times per game. The Rockets were responsible for committing 18.3 personal fouls every game and they connected on 76.3% from the free throw line.

The Houston defense conceded 35.1% from downtown (1,014 of 2,892) and their opponents converted on 75.6% of their free throw shots. They surrendered 24.5 assists and 39.5 boards on a nightly basis, which had them ranked 3rd and 2nd in the NBA. The Rockets defensively were ranked 4th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 110.0. They were able to force 13.4 TO's per game and allowed teams to shoot 46.0% from the floor (6th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-9.0)

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